Is there a way to estimate the number of technologically advanced civilizations that might exist in our Galaxy? While working at the National Radio Astronomy Observatory in Green Bank, West Virginia, Dr. Frank Drake conceived a means to mathematically estimate the number of worlds that might harbor beings with technology sufficient to communicate across the vast gulfs of interstellar space. The Drake Equation, as it came to be known, was formulated in 1961 and is generally accepted by the scientific community.
N = R* fp ne fl fi fc L
where,
N = The number of communicative civilizations
R* = The rate of formation of suitable stars (stars such as our Sun)
fp = The fraction of those stars with planets. (Current evidence indicates that planetary systems may be common for stars like the Sun.)
ne = The number of Earth-like worlds per planetary system
fl = The fraction of those Earth-like planets where life actually develops
fi = The fraction of life sites where intelligence develops
fc = The fraction of communicative planets (those on which electromagnetic communications technology develops)
L = The "lifetime" of communicating civilizations
Frank Drake's own current solution to the Drake Equation estimates 10,000 communicative civilizations in the Milky Way. Dr. Drake, who serves on the SETI League's advisory board, has personally endorsed SETI's planned all-sky survey.
http://www.setileague.org/general/drake.htm
N = R* fp ne fl fi fc L
where,
N = The number of communicative civilizations
R* = The rate of formation of suitable stars (stars such as our Sun)
fp = The fraction of those stars with planets. (Current evidence indicates that planetary systems may be common for stars like the Sun.)
ne = The number of Earth-like worlds per planetary system
fl = The fraction of those Earth-like planets where life actually develops
fi = The fraction of life sites where intelligence develops
fc = The fraction of communicative planets (those on which electromagnetic communications technology develops)
L = The "lifetime" of communicating civilizations
Frank Drake's own current solution to the Drake Equation estimates 10,000 communicative civilizations in the Milky Way. Dr. Drake, who serves on the SETI League's advisory board, has personally endorsed SETI's planned all-sky survey.
http://www.setileague.org/general/drake.htm
For human life to exist on Earth, we NEED the water cycle.
Water evaporates from the oceans, gathers in clouds, condenses in cold air, precipitates out back down to Earth, flows from ground to stream to river, and back to ocean.
If a roughly Earth-sized planet is too far from the star, the H2O will never melt, and no H2O cycle will occur.
If too close, the H2O will boil away, never condense, no cycle.
It's the goldilocks zone that matters.
Considering the variables:
- the size of the planet
- the size and energy output of the star (white dwarf, red giant)
- the distance of the planet from the star *
is there a way to maximize the accuracy of applying Sir Francis Drake's equation by noting the ratio of the goldilocks zone, to the total possible planetary range?
* There may be a way to fudge this. A planet a little closer to the star, but a star that's a little colder than our sun may provide near identical terrestrial conditions.
So such SETI search may not necessarily exclude stars that aren't precisely like our sun.